A tropical disturbance southeast of Florida could develop into a storm

Eloise Marshall
November 13, 2018

The 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season doesn't end until November 30, and there's one more system out there that National Hurricane Center forecasters say could turn into a tropical depression or tropical storm in the coming days.

This disturbance has been battling strong upper-level winds for the past couple days, but it'll be moving northwestward into a better environment this week and the National Hurricane Center has a 70% of development over the next five days.

The wave is now producing a large area of disturbed weather, and the NHC said conditions should be conducive for it to develop into a full-fledged tropical storm or hurricane Tuesday or Wednesday.

On the other hand, odds would be against development if the system maintains a more westward track over the mountainous islands of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Interests in these areas have therefore been advised to closely monitor the progress of this system.

People may be hanging Christmas lights already, but the National Hurricane Center has a vivid reminder that we still need to keep an eye on what's brewing in the tropics.

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Though it's still early to know whether the storm threatens South Florida, the service noted a high chance of rain and riptides for much of the week.

What's the difference between a tropical wave and a tropical storm?

Most of the models show the tropical wave remaining east of the United States. Also known as an easterly wave.

A tropical storm is a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained surface winds ranging from 39-73 miles per hour (34 to 63 knots).

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